Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

106.71 – 145.1

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

24 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 116.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 308.4 ±11

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 19.71Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5924Golden Gate Robotics

Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 8.6Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

766M-A Bears

Season APEX 112.1Event APEX 78.4Rank 15Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 419 ±9.4

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 120.57Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4186Alameda Aztechs Robotics

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 25.44Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX -0.91Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7667, 5924, 766

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.7 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7667, 5924, 766

Auto

30.1 29%

Teleop

41.3 40%

Endgame

32.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5940, 4186, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.1 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5940, 4186, NaN

Auto

26.3 19%

Teleop

68.7 49%

Endgame

46.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.5 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score106.7pts

Blue projected score145.1pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 37%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.4
Score range: 61–191
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 320 vs event baseline 257.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

308.4Season APEX419

30.1Auto26.3

41.3Teleop68.7

32.5Endgame46.1

8Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	90
teleop	14	121
endgame	0	70
foul	0	15
total	24	296

Result

Final score

24 – 296

Prediction correct · off by 116.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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