Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.06 – 392.45

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

22 – 445

Prediction correct · off by 51.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 109.7 ±7

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 15.48Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

2854The Prototypes

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 32.47Rank 16Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 24.11Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 572.3 ±10.4

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 80.51Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8793Pumpkin Bots

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 55.23Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

841The BioMechs

Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 256.71Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 2854, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.1 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 2854, NaN

Auto

27.4 41%

Teleop

37.8 57%

Endgame

0.9 1%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5507, 8793, 841

/ 100 compat

Projected

392.5 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5507, 8793, 841

Auto

83.1 22%

Teleop

229.6 61%

Endgame

65.6 17%

Strengths

· 841 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score72.1pts

Blue projected score392.5pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 32%, blue 36%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -320.4
Score range: 25–439
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 467 vs event baseline 259.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

109.7Season APEX572.3

27.4Auto83.1

37.8Teleop229.6

0.9Endgame65.6

14Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	50
teleop	11	317
endgame	5	73
foul	0	5
total	22	445

Result

Final score

22 – 445

Prediction correct · off by 51.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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