Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

511.44 – 269.51

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

741 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 200 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 717.1 ±9.8

8048East Palo Alto ChurroBots

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 76.24Rank 14Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 150.7Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 284.5Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 668.2 ±9.9

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 107.74Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9470Ctrl-Alt-Defeat

Season APEX 385.2Event APEX 59.21Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9584Spartan Squared

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 102.56Rank 13Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8048, 6962, 581

/ 100 compat

Projected

511.4 pts

~3.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8048, 6962, 581

Auto

93.4 19%

Teleop

315.1 63%

Endgame

92.5 18%

Strengths

· 581 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 846, 9470, 9584

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.5 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 846, 9470, 9584

Auto

32.7 13%

Teleop

171.8 68%

Endgame

46.5 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 52%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.08 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score511.4pts

Blue projected score269.5pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 52%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 241.9
Score range: 224–557
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 840 vs event baseline 254.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

717.1Season APEX668.2

93.4Auto32.7

315.1Teleop171.8

92.5Endgame46.5

39Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	126	35
teleop	465	44
endgame	150	20
foul	0	0
total	741	99

Result

Final score

741 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 200 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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