Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

352.01 – 295.34

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

288 – 400

Prediction missed · off by 84.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 500.8 ±12.4

199Deep Blue

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 38.93Rank 28Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 284.8Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4186Alameda Aztechs Robotics

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 28.28Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 848 ±9.3

3045Gear Gremlins

Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 134.8Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 67.17Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6418The Missfits

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 93.37Rank 11Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 199, 604, 4186

/ 100 compat

Projected

352 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 199, 604, 4186

Auto

32.7 9%

Teleop

224.9 64%

Endgame

93.3 27%

Strengths

· 604 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3045, 6036, 6418

/ 100 compat

Projected

295.3 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3045, 6036, 6418

Auto

58.2 20%

Teleop

175.3 59%

Endgame

64.3 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 31%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.16 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score352pts

Blue projected score295.3pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 31%, blue 47%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.7
Score range: 250–397
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 688 vs event baseline 251.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

500.8Season APEX848

32.7Auto58.2

224.9Teleop175.3

93.3Endgame64.3

42Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	96
teleop	160	249
endgame	118	55
foul	0	0
total	288	400

Result

Final score

288 – 400

Prediction missed · off by 84.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.