Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

502.97 – 87.51

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

655 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 674.2 ±9.8

841The BioMechs

Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 235.35Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 260.37Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10339BrainShift

Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 7.25Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136 ±10.6

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 6.53Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

4159CardinalBotics

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 53.78Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5924Golden Gate Robotics

Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 27.2Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 841, 581, 10339

/ 100 compat

Projected

503 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 841, 581, 10339

Auto

101.3 20%

Teleop

310.7 63%

Endgame

82.9 17%

Strengths

· 581 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 57%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, 4159, 5924

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.5 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 4159, 5924

Auto

27.2 34%

Teleop

36.3 45%

Endgame

17.0 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 57%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.22 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score503pts

Blue projected score87.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 57%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 415.5
Score range: 44–547
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 752 vs event baseline 246.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

674.2Season APEX136

101.3Auto27.2

310.7Teleop36.3

82.9Endgame17

80Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	6
teleop	387	55
endgame	137	36
foul	15	0
total	655	97

Result

Final score

655 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 80.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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