Qualification · Qualification 3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
586.86 – 488.79
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
464 – 439
Prediction correct · off by 86.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 828.3 ±9.3
Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 47.58Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 347Event APEX 303.15Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 236.13Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 688.2 ±10.5
Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 272.08Rank 7Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 171.28Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 45.43Rank 16Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7667, 581, 973
82
/ 100 compatProjected
586.9 pts
~2.9 RP (offseason)
Teams: 7667, 581, 973
Auto
131.7 23%
Teleop
316.9 56%
Endgame
121.3 21%
Strengths
- · 581 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 62%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 841, 3045, 2854
81
/ 100 compatProjected
488.8 pts
~1.8 RP (offseason)
Teams: 841, 3045, 2854
Auto
98.5 21%
Teleop
278.4 59%
Endgame
98.1 21%
Strengths
- · 841 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 62%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.89 · Blue 1.83
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score586.9pts
Blue projected score488.8pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample134alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 71%, blue 72%
Supercharged bonusred 62%, blue 63%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 98.1
- Score range
- 435–641
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
828.3Season APEX688.2
131.7Auto98.5
316.9Teleop278.4
121.3Endgame98.1
29Consistency7
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 106 | 91 |
| teleop | 244 | 233 |
| endgame | 79 | 85 |
| foul | 35 | 30 |
| total | 464 | 439 |
Result
Final score
464 – 439
Prediction correct · off by 86.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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