Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

399.27 – 74.36

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

340 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 648.5 ±7.1

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 19.58Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 152.91Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 226.78Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 264.6 ±16.3

6506Steel Boot Robotics

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX -13.85Rank 30Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10185Nexify Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 35.85Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

2854The Prototypes

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 52.36Rank 16Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 5940, 973

/ 100 compat

Projected

399.3 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 5940, 973

Auto

86.4 22%

Teleop

216.0 55%

Endgame

87.2 22%

Strengths

· 973 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 40%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6506, 10185, 2854

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.4 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6506, 10185, 2854

Auto

16.0 23%

Teleop

32.9 47%

Endgame

21.0 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 40%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3 · Blue 0.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score399.3pts

Blue projected score74.4pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 40%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 324.9
Score range: 29–444
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 373 vs event baseline 249.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

648.5Season APEX264.6

86.4Auto16

216Teleop32.9

87.2Endgame21

35Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	116	9
teleop	157	16
endgame	67	8
foul	0	0
total	340	33

Result

Final score

340 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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