Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

280.19 – 323.2

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

151 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 120.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.7 ±9.2

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 66.3Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

9584Spartan Squared

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 130.94Rank 13Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8048East Palo Alto ChurroBots

Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 82.95Rank 14Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 503.8 ±11

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 119.38Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 162.67Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

668The Apes of Wrath

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 41.15Rank 31Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 9584, 8048

/ 100 compat

Projected

280.2 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 9584, 8048

Auto

31.6 12%

Teleop

187.4 68%

Endgame

55.3 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5507, 6962, 668

/ 100 compat

Projected

323.2 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5507, 6962, 668

Auto

82.7 25%

Teleop

171.0 52%

Endgame

75.7 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.53 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score280.2pts

Blue projected score323.2pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 32%, blue 30%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43
Score range: 234–369
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 363 vs event baseline 254.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

268.7Season APEX503.8

31.6Auto82.7

187.4Teleop171

55.3Endgame75.7

57Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	38
teleop	82	120
endgame	5	54
foul	30	0
total	151	212

Result

Final score

151 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 120.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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