Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

440.14 – 240.24

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

380 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 37.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 492.2 ±15.6

9584Spartan Squared

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 145.88Rank 13Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10185Nexify Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 44.89Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 249.37Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 460.1 ±11.7

4186Alameda Aztechs Robotics

Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 18.26Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 131.1Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6418The Missfits

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 90.88Rank 11Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9584, 10185, 581

/ 100 compat

Projected

440.1 pts

~2.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9584, 10185, 581

Auto

73.8 18%

Teleop

264.6 63%

Endgame

81.6 19%

Strengths

· 581 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4186, 5507, 6418

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.2 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4186, 5507, 6418

Auto

48.8 20%

Teleop

144.5 58%

Endgame

55.1 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 46%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.85 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score440.1pts

Blue projected score240.2pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 46%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 199.9
Score range: 195–485
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 605 vs event baseline 249.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

492.2Season APEX460.1

73.8Auto48.8

264.6Teleop144.5

81.6Endgame55.1

109Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	38
teleop	259	119
endgame	44	68
foul	0	0
total	380	225

Result

Final score

380 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 37.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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