Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.69 – 132.14

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

219 – 102

Prediction missed · off by 79.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 366.1 ±8.6

5924Golden Gate Robotics

Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 9.98Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 25.03Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 55.68Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.8 ±12.1

6410Supreme Eagles

Season APEX 35.6Event APEX 11.18Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

846The Funky Monkeys

Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 90.15Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 30.81Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5924, 6036, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.7 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5924, 6036, NaN

Auto

22.3 23%

Teleop

79.0 81%

Endgame

-4.2 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6410, 846, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.1 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6410, 846, NaN

Auto

22.2 16%

Teleop

103.0 75%

Endgame

11.9 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score90.7pts

Blue projected score132.1pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -41.4
Score range: 45–178
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 253.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366.1Season APEX231.8

22.3Auto22.2

79Teleop103

-4.2Endgame11.9

61Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	18
teleop	137	37
endgame	32	32
foul	0	15
total	219	102

Result

Final score

219 – 102

Prediction missed · off by 79.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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