Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

188.72 – 136.73

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

238 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 46 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 348.8 ±11

10339BrainShift

Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 8.62Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9584Spartan Squared

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 91.9Rank 13Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6418The Missfits

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 88.2Rank 11Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246 ±8.5

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 17.25Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

8793Pumpkin Bots

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 81.14Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

766M-A Bears

Season APEX 112.1Event APEX 38.34Rank 15Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10339, 9584, 6418

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.7 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10339, 9584, 6418

Auto

23.0 13%

Teleop

111.6 62%

Endgame

44.4 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · NaN, 8793, 766

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.7 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 8793, 766

Auto

18.4 14%

Teleop

66.6 52%

Endgame

41.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 33%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.07 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score188.7pts

Blue projected score136.7pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 33%, blue 33%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 52
Score range: 83–243
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 299.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

348.8Season APEX246

23Auto18.4

111.6Teleop66.6

44.4Endgame41.9

37Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	4
teleop	150	56
endgame	61	34
foul	0	0
total	238	94

Result

Final score

238 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 46 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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