Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
199.36 – 120.52
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
303 – 127
Prediction correct · off by 55.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 551.8 ±7.1
Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 118.42Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 67.84Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX -Event APEX 13.1Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 170.5 ±14.3
10185Nexify Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 22.18Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX -Event APEX 16.57Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -
Season APEX 112.1Event APEX 81.77Rank 15Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3045, 846, NaN
49
/ 100 compatProjected
199.4 pts
~2.4 RP (offseason)
Teams: 3045, 846, NaN
Auto
38.3 21%
Teleop
117.1 63%
Endgame
31.4 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 34%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10185, NaN, 766
37
/ 100 compatProjected
120.5 pts
~1.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 10185, NaN, 766
Auto
4.9 4%
Teleop
59.8 51%
Endgame
53.7 45%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 34%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.4 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score199.4pts
Blue projected score120.5pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample134alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 32%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 78.8
- Score range
- 73–247
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
551.8Season APEX170.5
38.3Auto4.9
117.1Teleop59.8
31.4Endgame53.7
61Consistency79
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 42 | 12 |
| teleop | 231 | 63 |
| endgame | 30 | 37 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 303 | 127 |
Result
Final score
303 – 127
Prediction correct · off by 55.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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