Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

185.98 – 395.41

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

202 – 466

Prediction correct · off by 43.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 715.1 ±9.8

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 40.03Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 115.86Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 30.09Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 553.7 ±10.5

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 177.71Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 115.32Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6884Deep-Space Robotics

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 102.38Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6036, 5507, 7667

/ 100 compat

Projected

186 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6036, 5507, 7667

Auto

63.8 34%

Teleop

104.6 55%

Endgame

20.6 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 973, 6962, 6884

/ 100 compat

Projected

395.4 pts

~3.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 973, 6962, 6884

Auto

84.4 22%

Teleop

223.5 59%

Endgame

72.3 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 35%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.04 · Blue 3.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score186pts

Blue projected score395.4pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 35%, blue 47%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -209.4
Score range: 141–440
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 668 vs event baseline 252.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

715.1Season APEX553.7

63.8Auto84.4

104.6Teleop223.5

20.6Endgame72.3

53Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	106
teleop	113	274
endgame	32	86
foul	0	0
total	202	466

Result

Final score

202 – 466

Prediction correct · off by 43.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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