Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

199 – 125.89

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

536 – 398

Prediction correct · off by 304.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 667.1 ±11.2

4159CardinalBotics

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX -5.78Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 182.96Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 21.82Rank 9Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 452.1 ±14

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 146.92Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6410Supreme Eagles

Season APEX 35.6Event APEX -14.94Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

668The Apes of Wrath

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX -6.09Rank 31Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4159, 581, 5507

/ 100 compat

Projected

199 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4159, 581, 5507

Auto

58.0 31%

Teleop

101.6 54%

Endgame

28.2 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 973, 6410, 668

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.9 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 973, 6410, 668

Auto

35.8 33%

Teleop

52.8 48%

Endgame

21.5 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.27 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score199pts

Blue projected score125.9pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 32%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73.1
Score range: 84–241
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 934 vs event baseline 233.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

667.1Season APEX452.1

58Auto35.8

101.6Teleop52.8

28.2Endgame21.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	114	85
teleop	332	199
endgame	85	109
foul	5	5
total	536	398

Result

Final score

536 – 398

Prediction correct · off by 304.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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