Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
215.28 – 114.28
78%22%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
212 – 509
Prediction missed · off by 199 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.9 ±7.8
Season APEX 196.2Event APEX 35.58Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 120.74Rank 11Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX -Event APEX 58.96Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 718.9 ±7.1
Season APEX 385.2Event APEX 3.36Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 97.32Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX -Event APEX 13.6Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 846, 6418, NaN
61
/ 100 compatProjected
215.3 pts
~2.3 RP (offseason)
Teams: 846, 6418, NaN
Auto
30.5 14%
Teleop
154.1 70%
Endgame
34.0 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9470, 604, NaN
45
/ 100 compatProjected
114.3 pts
~1.2 RP (offseason)
Teams: 9470, 604, NaN
Auto
39.9 41%
Teleop
47.0 48%
Endgame
10.7 11%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 26%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.27 · Blue 1.17
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score215.3pts
Blue projected score114.3pts
Red win probability78%
Event bonus sample134alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 29%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 101
- Score range
- 74–255
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
353.9Season APEX718.9
30.5Auto39.9
154.1Teleop47
34Endgame10.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 77 |
| teleop | 128 | 325 |
| endgame | 69 | 107 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 212 | 509 |
Result
Final score
212 – 509
Prediction missed · off by 199 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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