Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

91.05 – 180.17

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

145 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 322.1 ±8.5

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 25.23Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

8793Pumpkin Bots

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX -11.29Rank 10Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 77.11Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 479.4 ±16.1

4159CardinalBotics

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 25.23Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10185Nexify Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 23.75Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 131.19Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 8793, 6962

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.1 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 8793, 6962

Auto

15.3 18%

Teleop

56.2 65%

Endgame

14.7 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4159, 10185, 973

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.2 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4159, 10185, 973

Auto

38.6 24%

Teleop

88.5 55%

Endgame

33.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.28 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score91.1pts

Blue projected score180.2pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 32%, blue 33%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.1
Score range: 53–218
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 211.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

322.1Season APEX479.4

15.3Auto38.6

56.2Teleop88.5

14.7Endgame33

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	41
teleop	85	129
endgame	3	65
foul	0	10
total	145	245

Result

Final score

145 – 245

Prediction correct · off by 59.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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