Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.05 – 298.15

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 34.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 543.7 ±15.6

9470Ctrl-Alt-Defeat

Season APEX 385.2Event APEX 25.06Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10185Nexify Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 48.48Rank 12Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

668The Apes of Wrath

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 18.51Rank 31Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.7 ±14

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 304.84Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5924Golden Gate Robotics

Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 26.21Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6410Supreme Eagles

Season APEX 35.6Event APEX -32.9Rank 27Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9470, 10185, 668

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.1 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9470, 10185, 668

Auto

25.8 29%

Teleop

37.4 43%

Endgame

24.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 604, 5924, 6410

/ 100 compat

Projected

298.2 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 604, 5924, 6410

Auto

53.7 18%

Teleop

173.1 59%

Endgame

68.7 23%

Strengths

· 604 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score92.1pts

Blue projected score298.2pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 32%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -206.1
Score range: 38–352
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 299.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

543.7Season APEX400.7

25.8Auto53.7

37.4Teleop173.1

24.7Endgame68.7

39Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	47
teleop	16	147
endgame	26	40
foul	15	5
total	82	239

Result

Final score

82 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 34.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.