Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

621.73 – 418.2

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

650 – 405

Prediction correct · off by 20.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 680.7 ±7.1

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 16.21Rank 29Record 2-8-0Status -Confidence -

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 301.95Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 303.57Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 776.3 ±9.3

10339BrainShift

Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 9.36Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3045Gear Gremlins

Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 172.04Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 236.8Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · NaN, 581, 604

/ 100 compat

Projected

621.7 pts

~3.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: NaN, 581, 604

Auto

113.4 19%

Teleop

359.0 59%

Endgame

140.3 23%

Strengths

· 604 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 61%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10339, 3045, 973

/ 100 compat

Projected

418.2 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10339, 3045, 973

Auto

80.1 20%

Teleop

237.3 59%

Endgame

88.2 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 61%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 3.21 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score621.7pts

Blue projected score418.2pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 61%, blue 53%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 203.5
Score range: 365–675
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1055 vs event baseline 295.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

680.7Season APEX776.3

113.4Auto80.1

359Teleop237.3

140.3Endgame88.2

5Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	130	102
teleop	362	150
endgame	158	138
foul	0	15
total	650	405

Result

Final score

650 – 405

Prediction correct · off by 20.7 pts

Match videos

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