FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

151.15 – 87.15

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

154 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 27.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 402.8 ±9.3

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 54.03Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 8.53Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 88.59Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.1 ±9.8

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 42.86Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5484Career Academy Robotics - Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64Event APEX 36.49Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 7.8Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8575, 10388, 4451

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8575, 10388, 4451

Auto

21.7 14%

Teleop

84.3 56%

Endgame

44.0 29%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1758, 5484, 9005

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1758, 5484, 9005

Auto

24.8 30%

Teleop

47.0 56%

Endgame

12.1 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score151.2pts

Blue projected score87.1pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 9%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64
Score range: 74–164
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 293 vs event baseline 71.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

402.8Season APEX171.1

21.7Auto24.8

84.3Teleop47

44Endgame12.1

0Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	23
teleop	80	79
endgame	26	22
foul	5	15
total	154	139

Result

Final score

154 – 139

Prediction correct · off by 27.3 pts

Match videos

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