FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

104.23 – 47.87

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

194 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 64 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 335.3 ±9.9

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 43.4Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11368SCTC ZettaBots

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 10.11Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 50.72Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.5 ±10.4

4864INNovation Station

Season APEX 46Event APEX 19.82Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1102M'Aiken Magic

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 5.95Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 22.1Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 343, 11368, 1287

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 343, 11368, 1287

Auto

29.6 29%

Teleop

52.8 51%

Endgame

20.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4864, 1102, 9315

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4864, 1102, 9315

Auto

15.3 33%

Teleop

23.6 51%

Endgame

7.1 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score104.2pts

Blue projected score47.9pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 56.4
Score range: 35–117
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 280 vs event baseline 70.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

335.3Season APEX149.5

29.6Auto15.3

52.8Teleop23.6

20.3Endgame7.1

16Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	18
teleop	116	43
endgame	51	20
foul	0	5
total	194	86

Result

Final score

194 – 86

Prediction correct · off by 64 pts

Match videos

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