FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

47.92 – 42.18

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 65

Prediction missed · off by 15 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 113.5 ±12.2

1051Technical Terminators

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 18.5Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 23.33Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3976Electric Hornets

Season APEX 23Event APEX 6.09Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136.3 ±11.7

2815Blue Devil Mechanics

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 6.68Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1319Flash

Season APEX 64Event APEX 22.5Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6961SIbots

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 13Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1051, 1293, 3976

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1051, 1293, 3976

Auto

11.9 27%

Teleop

19.4 44%

Endgame

12.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2815, 1319, 6961

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2815, 1319, 6961

Auto

20.5 53%

Teleop

7.8 20%

Endgame

10.5 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.9pts

Blue projected score42.2pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 8%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 5.7
Score range: 29–61
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 120 vs event baseline 70.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

113.5Season APEX136.3

11.9Auto20.5

19.4Teleop7.8

12.5Endgame10.5

42Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	26
teleop	24	25
endgame	12	9
foul	5	5
total	55	65

Result

Final score

55 – 65

Prediction missed · off by 15 pts

Match videos

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