FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

85.65 – 35.84

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

109 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.1 ±9.8

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 41.99Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5484Career Academy Robotics - Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64Event APEX 36.28Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 7.38Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136.3 ±11.7

2815Blue Devil Mechanics

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 4.72Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1319Flash

Season APEX 64Event APEX 20.18Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6961SIbots

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 10.94Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1758, 5484, 9005

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1758, 5484, 9005

Auto

23.7 29%

Teleop

43.1 53%

Endgame

14.5 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2815, 1319, 6961

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2815, 1319, 6961

Auto

20.0 64%

Teleop

5.3 17%

Endgame

6.1 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.7pts

Blue projected score35.8pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 9%, blue 8%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 49.8
Score range: 23–99
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 183 vs event baseline 70.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

171.1Season APEX136.3

23.7Auto20

43.1Teleop5.3

14.5Endgame6.1

60Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	24
teleop	72	21
endgame	6	29
foul	0	0
total	109	74

Result

Final score

109 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 pts

Match videos

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