FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

146.98 – 51.16

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

181 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 402.8 ±9.3

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 52.64Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 6.56Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 87.78Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 113.5 ±12.2

1051Technical Terminators

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 19.14Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 24.81Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3976Electric Hornets

Season APEX 23Event APEX 7.21Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8575, 10388, 4451

/ 100 compat

Projected

147 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8575, 10388, 4451

Auto

19.9 14%

Teleop

80.7 56%

Endgame

44.8 31%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1051, 1293, 3976

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1051, 1293, 3976

Auto

12.1 26%

Teleop

20.8 44%

Endgame

14.4 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 0.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score147pts

Blue projected score51.2pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 13%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.8
Score range: 39–159
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 69.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

402.8Season APEX113.5

19.9Auto12.1

80.7Teleop20.8

44.8Endgame14.4

24Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	14
teleop	107	21
endgame	43	6
foul	0	5
total	181	46

Result

Final score

181 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 pts

Match videos

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