FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

70.6 – 46.48

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 65

Prediction missed · off by 17.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.4 ±9.8

11308Daniel Morgan Patriots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 30.28Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

281The GreenVillains

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 20.23Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 20.09Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.5 ±10.4

4864INNovation Station

Season APEX 46Event APEX 19.59Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1102M'Aiken Magic

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 5.2Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 21.69Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11308, 281, 10619

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11308, 281, 10619

Auto

19.8 28%

Teleop

35.0 49%

Endgame

16.5 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4864, 1102, 9315

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4864, 1102, 9315

Auto

14.4 31%

Teleop

25.7 55%

Endgame

6.6 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.33 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.6pts

Blue projected score46.5pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 24.1
Score range: 33–84
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 119 vs event baseline 69.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206.4Season APEX149.5

19.8Auto14.4

35Teleop25.7

16.5Endgame6.6

10Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	22
teleop	17	24
endgame	25	9
foul	0	10
total	54	65

Result

Final score

54 – 65

Prediction missed · off by 17.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.