FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.1 – 33.79

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

122 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 12.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 335.3 ±9.9

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 42.67Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11368SCTC ZettaBots

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 9.28Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 50.15Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211 ±10.7

10599RoboBlazers

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 13.27Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 9.53Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 10.99Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 343, 11368, 1287

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 343, 11368, 1287

Auto

26.7 27%

Teleop

54.5 55%

Endgame

18.5 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10599, 9477, 6004

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10599, 9477, 6004

Auto

5.7 18%

Teleop

16.6 53%

Endgame

9.2 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score102.1pts

Blue projected score33.8pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 10%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.3
Score range: 22–114
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 160 vs event baseline 69.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

335.3Season APEX211

26.7Auto5.7

54.5Teleop16.6

18.5Endgame9.2

28Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	9
teleop	48	11
endgame	29	18
foul	0	0
total	122	38

Result

Final score

122 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 12.1 pts

Match videos

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