Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
122.06 – 96.28
58%42%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
124 – 141
Prediction missed · off by 23.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 335.3 ±9.9
Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 49.17Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 16.29Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 56.6Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.1 ±9.8
Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 45.53Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 64Event APEX 40.58Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 37Event APEX 10.17Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 343, 11368, 1287
82
/ 100 compatProjected
122.1 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 343, 11368, 1287
Auto
30.3 25%
Teleop
66.2 55%
Endgame
23.8 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1758, 5484, 9005
73
/ 100 compatProjected
96.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 1758, 5484, 9005
Auto
24.8 27%
Teleop
53.7 58%
Endgame
13.9 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 15%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 0.97
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score122.1pts
Blue projected score96.3pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample136alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 15%, blue 9%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 25.8
- Score range
- 82–136
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
335.3Season APEX171.1
30.3Auto24.8
66.2Teleop53.7
23.8Endgame13.9
0Consistency39
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 25 |
| teleop | 63 | 56 |
| endgame | 25 | 55 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 124 | 141 |
Result
Final score
124 – 141
Prediction missed · off by 23.3 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.