FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

91.89 – 54.52

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

132 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.1 ±9.8

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 44.08Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5484Career Academy Robotics - Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64Event APEX 38.82Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 8.99Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.5 ±10.4

4864INNovation Station

Season APEX 46Event APEX 22.57Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1102M'Aiken Magic

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 8.51Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 23.44Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1758, 5484, 9005

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1758, 5484, 9005

Auto

24.4 28%

Teleop

50.1 57%

Endgame

13.0 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4864, 1102, 9315

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4864, 1102, 9315

Auto

14.7 28%

Teleop

27.4 52%

Endgame

10.4 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score91.9pts

Blue projected score54.5pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 9%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 37.4
Score range: 42–105
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 247 vs event baseline 74.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

171.1Season APEX149.5

24.4Auto14.7

50.1Teleop27.4

13Endgame10.4

43Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	21
teleop	82	60
endgame	22	34
foul	0	0
total	132	115

Result

Final score

132 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 pts

Match videos

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