FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

14.1 – 24.25

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 261.5 ±9.3

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX -0.82Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 5.85Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 9.07Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.1 ±10.7

3976Electric Hornets

Season APEX 23Event APEX 5.91Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5484Career Academy Robotics - Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64Event APEX 12.95Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 5.39Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6004, 4083, 8575

/ 100 compat

Projected

14.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6004, 4083, 8575

Auto

7.0 40%

Teleop

6.4 36%

Endgame

4.2 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3976, 5484, 343

/ 100 compat

Projected

24.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3976, 5484, 343

Auto

11.9 49%

Teleop

9.3 38%

Endgame

3.3 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score14.1pts

Blue projected score24.3pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 10%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -10.1
Score range: 5–33
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 144 vs event baseline 48.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

261.5Season APEX223.1

7Auto11.9

6.4Teleop9.3

4.2Endgame3.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	22
teleop	12	27
endgame	11	24
foul	30	10
total	61	83

Result

Final score

61 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 52.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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