Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
30.04 – 22.32
52%48%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
14 – 44
Prediction missed · off by 18.9 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 110.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 5.76Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 7.14Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 20.4Event APEX 17.14Rank 23Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.7 ±11.2
Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 13.47Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 37Event APEX 1.71Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 7.14Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 281, 10388, 11475
41
/ 100 compatProjected
30 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 281, 10388, 11475
Auto
16.6 55%
Teleop
6.3 21%
Endgame
7.3 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 12%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10599, 9005, 10619
45
/ 100 compatProjected
22.3 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 10599, 9005, 10619
Auto
5.3 22%
Teleop
10.3 44%
Endgame
8.0 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 12%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score30pts
Blue projected score22.3pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample136alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 12%, blue 11%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 7.7
- Score range
- 13–39
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
110.6Season APEX173.7
16.6Auto5.3
6.3Teleop10.3
7.3Endgame8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 14 |
| teleop | 5 | 21 |
| endgame | 0 | 9 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 14 | 44 |
Result
Final score
14 – 44
Prediction missed · off by 18.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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