FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

142.79 – 43.81

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

223 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 439 ±9.3

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 46.46Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1319Flash

Season APEX 64Event APEX 14.79Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 81.54Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 227.3 ±9.3

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 20.63Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 10.62Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 12.56Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8575, 1319, 4451

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8575, 1319, 4451

Auto

25.3 19%

Teleop

72.2 54%

Endgame

36.9 27%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10619, 9477, 4083

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10619, 9477, 4083

Auto

15.0 35%

Teleop

18.9 44%

Endgame

9.5 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.81 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score142.8pts

Blue projected score43.8pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 10%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99
Score range: 32–155
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 68.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

439Season APEX227.3

25.3Auto15

72.2Teleop18.9

36.9Endgame9.5

24Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	14
teleop	133	24
endgame	61	1
foul	0	0
total	223	39

Result

Final score

223 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 42.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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