FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

92.25 – 34.77

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

191 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 322.7 ±9.3

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 35.75Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 14.63Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 41.87Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 115.5 ±12.8

2815Blue Devil Mechanics

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 7.09Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10599RoboBlazers

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 15.38Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6961SIbots

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 12.3Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 343, 9315, 1287

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.3 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 343, 9315, 1287

Auto

22.3 25%

Teleop

49.2 54%

Endgame

19.4 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2815, 10599, 6961

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2815, 10599, 6961

Auto

14.0 39%

Teleop

8.0 22%

Endgame

14.3 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 17%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.3pts

Blue projected score34.8pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 17%, blue 10%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.5
Score range: 23–104
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 221 vs event baseline 67.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

322.7Season APEX115.5

22.3Auto14

49.2Teleop8

19.4Endgame14.3

48Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	13
teleop	101	9
endgame	42	8
foul	0	0
total	191	30

Result

Final score

191 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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