FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.72 – 49.45

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

38 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 25.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 127.6 ±12.8

1319Flash

Season APEX 64Event APEX 12.81Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10599RoboBlazers

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 15.36Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11475DawgBots

Season APEX 20.4Event APEX 6.55Rank 23Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 248.9 ±9.3

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 37.7Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2815Blue Devil Mechanics

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 3.2Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 8.55Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1319, 10599, 11475

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1319, 10599, 11475

Auto

12.7 45%

Teleop

9.6 34%

Endgame

5.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1287, 2815, 6004

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1287, 2815, 6004

Auto

15.8 35%

Teleop

17.0 38%

Endgame

12.4 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score34.7pts

Blue projected score49.5pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -14.7
Score range: 23–61
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 136 vs event baseline 67.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

127.6Season APEX248.9

12.7Auto15.8

9.6Teleop17

5.7Endgame12.4

24Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	24
teleop	7	50
endgame	9	24
foul	0	0
total	38	98

Result

Final score

38 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 25.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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