FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.97 – 114.41

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

120 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 274.2 ±9.3

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 24.02Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 44.78Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 19.17Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310.6 ±11.2

4864INNovation Station

Season APEX 46Event APEX 22.64Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6961SIbots

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 11.26Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 80.51Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1293, 8575, 10619

/ 100 compat

Projected

88 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1293, 8575, 10619

Auto

19.2 23%

Teleop

39.9 48%

Endgame

24.9 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4864, 6961, 4451

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4864, 6961, 4451

Auto

25.4 22%

Teleop

62.2 54%

Endgame

26.7 23%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88pts

Blue projected score114.4pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -26.4
Score range: 76–126
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 256 vs event baseline 66.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

274.2Season APEX310.6

19.2Auto25.4

39.9Teleop62.2

24.9Endgame26.7

8Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	30
teleop	70	76
endgame	32	30
foul	0	0
total	120	136

Result

Final score

120 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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