FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

29.41 – 86.52

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

54 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 34 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165.8 ±11.2

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 17.66Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6961SIbots

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 9.56Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2815Blue Devil Mechanics

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 2.19Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261.4 ±9.8

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 40.81Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 0.38Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 45.33Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10619, 6961, 2815

/ 100 compat

Projected

29.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10619, 6961, 2815

Auto

18.3 57%

Teleop

4.7 15%

Endgame

9.2 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8575, 9005, 1758

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8575, 9005, 1758

Auto

20.9 26%

Teleop

39.2 49%

Endgame

20.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 1.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score29.4pts

Blue projected score86.5pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -57.1
Score range: 17–99
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 184 vs event baseline 66.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165.8Season APEX261.4

18.3Auto20.9

4.7Teleop39.2

9.2Endgame20.4

53Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	21
teleop	16	61
endgame	20	33
foul	0	15
total	54	130

Result

Final score

54 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 34 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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