FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

139.91 – 47.83

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

147 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 39.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 334 ±11.2

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 49.32Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 72.88Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10599RoboBlazers

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 17.71Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.3 ±9.3

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 29.37Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 11.29Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 7.17Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1758, 4451, 10599

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1758, 4451, 10599

Auto

18.3 13%

Teleop

80.3 57%

Endgame

43.1 30%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 343, 10619, 9315

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 343, 10619, 9315

Auto

17.8 34%

Teleop

23.2 45%

Endgame

10.7 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score139.9pts

Blue projected score47.8pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.1
Score range: 37–151
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 61.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

334Season APEX266.3

18.3Auto17.8

80.3Teleop23.2

43.1Endgame10.7

4Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	18
teleop	70	66
endgame	56	36
foul	5	0
total	147	120

Result

Final score

147 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 39.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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