FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

46.48 – 46.95

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 39.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 113.9 ±10.4

11308Daniel Morgan Patriots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 33.17Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 0.95Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 12.36Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 197.7 ±12.4

3976Electric Hornets

Season APEX 23Event APEX 5.41Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 38.88Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11475DawgBots

Season APEX 20.4Event APEX 2.66Rank 23Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11308, 9005, 1293

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11308, 9005, 1293

Auto

18.5 44%

Teleop

15.3 37%

Endgame

7.8 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3976, 8575, 11475

/ 100 compat

Projected

47 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3976, 8575, 11475

Auto

14.0 34%

Teleop

14.5 36%

Endgame

12.1 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score46.5pts

Blue projected score47pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.5
Score range: 35–58
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 61.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

113.9Season APEX197.7

18.5Auto14

15.3Teleop14.5

7.8Endgame12.1

72Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	32
teleop	45	35
endgame	10	34
foul	0	0
total	72	101

Result

Final score

72 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 39.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.