FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

36.08 – 41.8

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 8.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.3 ±10.5

11368SCTC ZettaBots

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 9.48Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1102M'Aiken Magic

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 14.68Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 11.92Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 108.3 ±11.7

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 17.66Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 10.83Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6961SIbots

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 13.31Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11368, 1102, 9477

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11368, 1102, 9477

Auto

15.5 42%

Teleop

17.9 49%

Endgame

3.2 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4083, 10388, 6961

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4083, 10388, 6961

Auto

16.7 42%

Teleop

16.3 41%

Endgame

6.5 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 8%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score36.1pts

Blue projected score41.8pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 8%, blue 8%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -5.7
Score range: 25–53
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 95 vs event baseline 61.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

213.3Season APEX108.3

15.5Auto16.7

17.9Teleop16.3

3.2Endgame6.5

8Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	14
teleop	28	17
endgame	7	15
foul	0	5
total	44	51

Result

Final score

44 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 8.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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