FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.87 – 65.76

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

78 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.8 ±9.9

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 8.55Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11368SCTC ZettaBots

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 5.65Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5484Career Academy Robotics - Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64Event APEX 37.67Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.2 ±9.9

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 36.44Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 6.43Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1051Technical Terminators

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 22.89Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10619, 11368, 5484

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10619, 11368, 5484

Auto

30.9 57%

Teleop

24.1 44%

Endgame

-0.8 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1287, 9477, 1051

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1287, 9477, 1051

Auto

15.6 28%

Teleop

26.3 46%

Endgame

14.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score51.9pts

Blue projected score65.8pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 9%, blue 15%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13.9
Score range: 41–77
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 187 vs event baseline 60.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206.8Season APEX311.2

30.9Auto15.6

24.1Teleop26.3

-0.8Endgame14.8

63Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	33
teleop	36	58
endgame	20	18
foul	0	0
total	78	109

Result

Final score

78 – 109

Prediction correct · off by 34.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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