FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

73.73 – 39.26

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

132 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 32 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 263.2 ±11.2

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 33.78Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 25.51Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10599RoboBlazers

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 14.44Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 131.9 ±11

11368SCTC ZettaBots

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 8Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4864INNovation Station

Season APEX 46Event APEX 14.77Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 16.49Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1758, 1287, 10599

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1758, 1287, 10599

Auto

15.6 24%

Teleop

38.7 59%

Endgame

11.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11368, 4864, 4083

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11368, 4864, 4083

Auto

20.1 64%

Teleop

15.9 50%

Endgame

-4.4 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.7pts

Blue projected score39.3pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 10%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 34.5
Score range: 28–85
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 177 vs event baseline 59.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

263.2Season APEX131.9

15.6Auto20.1

38.7Teleop15.9

11.4Endgame-4.4

83Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	20
teleop	63	15
endgame	54	10
foul	0	0
total	132	45

Result

Final score

132 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 32 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree