FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

2.48 – 57.71

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 82.6 ±10.4

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 6.12Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 17.05Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2815Blue Devil Mechanics

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX -20.69Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315.5 ±8.7

5484Career Academy Robotics - Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64Event APEX 34.88Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 23.64Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX -0.81Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10388, 1293, 2815

/ 100 compat

Projected

2.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10388, 1293, 2815

Auto

6.2 100%

Teleop

-4.7 0%

Endgame

2.3 61%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5484, 8575, 9477

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5484, 8575, 9477

Auto

17.0 32%

Teleop

25.7 49%

Endgame

10.1 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score2.5pts

Blue projected score57.7pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 9%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.2
Score range: -9–69
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 137 vs event baseline 59.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

82.6Season APEX315.5

6.2Auto17

-4.7Teleop25.7

2.3Endgame10.1

106Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	36
teleop	2	39
endgame	22	18
foul	5	0
total	44	93

Result

Final score

44 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 38.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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