FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

50.63 – 51.88

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 18.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 129.2 ±12.2

10599RoboBlazers

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 17.87Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11368SCTC ZettaBots

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 11.54Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9315Coding Comets

Season APEX 36.7Event APEX 21.22Rank 13Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208 ±9.8

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 2.95Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1319Flash

Season APEX 64Event APEX 6.89Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11308Daniel Morgan Patriots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 42.04Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10599, 11368, 9315

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10599, 11368, 9315

Auto

13.1 26%

Teleop

33.2 67%

Endgame

3.4 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10619, 1319, 11308

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10619, 1319, 11308

Auto

21.8 52%

Teleop

13.1 31%

Endgame

6.8 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 11%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.14 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score50.6pts

Blue projected score51.9pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 11%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.2
Score range: 41–62
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 110 vs event baseline 57.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

129.2Season APEX208

13.1Auto21.8

33.2Teleop13.1

3.4Endgame6.8

96Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	28
teleop	14	34
endgame	6	12
foul	0	0
total	36	74

Result

Final score

36 – 74

Prediction correct · off by 18.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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