FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

76.57 – 35.16

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

158 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 54.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 321.4 ±10.5

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 63.62Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 9.04Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1051Technical Terminators

Season APEX 64.1Event APEX 3.91Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 136.4 ±11.7

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 20.21Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10599RoboBlazers

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 13.77Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1102M'Aiken Magic

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 1.18Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4451, 4083, 1051

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4451, 4083, 1051

Auto

13.4 19%

Teleop

27.0 38%

Endgame

30.7 43%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1293, 10599, 1102

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1293, 10599, 1102

Auto

8.8 26%

Teleop

9.5 29%

Endgame

15.0 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score76.6pts

Blue projected score35.2pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 11%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 41.4
Score range: 25–87
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 221 vs event baseline 55.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

321.4Season APEX136.4

13.4Auto8.8

27Teleop9.5

30.7Endgame15

92Consistency130

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	6
teleop	110	43
endgame	25	14
foul	0	0
total	158	63

Result

Final score

158 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 54.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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