FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

32.47 – 110.64

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

19 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 14.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184.5 ±10.7

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 27.53Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11475DawgBots

Season APEX 20.4Event APEX -5.65Rank 23Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10619Rana's Rivets

Season APEX 93.5Event APEX 10.59Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178 ±11.2

6961SIbots

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 20.87Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5484Career Academy Robotics - Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64Event APEX 42.27Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 47.5Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6004, 11475, 10619

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6004, 11475, 10619

Auto

9.9 44%

Teleop

9.2 41%

Endgame

3.6 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6961, 5484, 1758

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6961, 5484, 1758

Auto

27.5 24%

Teleop

54.4 47%

Endgame

33.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score32.5pts

Blue projected score110.6pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 10%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78.2
Score range: 22–121
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 114 vs event baseline 55.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184.5Season APEX178

9.9Auto27.5

9.2Teleop54.4

3.6Endgame33.3

58Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	34
teleop	2	49
endgame	1	12
foul	5	0
total	19	95

Result

Final score

19 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 14.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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