FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

78.19 – 90.98

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

46 – 12

Prediction missed · off by 55.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 228.6 ±11.7

10599RoboBlazers

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 12.99Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

343Metal-In-Motion

Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 49.04Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11368SCTC ZettaBots

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 16.16Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 285.1 ±9.8

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 58.86Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1102M'Aiken Magic

Season APEX 66.8Event APEX 11.2Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1319Flash

Season APEX 64Event APEX 20.92Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10599, 343, 11368

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10599, 343, 11368

Auto

16.0 20%

Teleop

42.1 53%

Endgame

20.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8575, 1102, 1319

/ 100 compat

Projected

91 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8575, 1102, 1319

Auto

20.3 25%

Teleop

41.4 51%

Endgame

20.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 12%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score78.2pts

Blue projected score91pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 12%, blue 12%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.8
Score range: 64–105
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 58 vs event baseline 79.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

228.6Season APEX285.1

16Auto20.3

42.1Teleop41.4

20.6Endgame20.2

16Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	6
teleop	24	5
endgame	14	1
foul	0	0
total	46	12

Result

Final score

46 – 12

Prediction missed · off by 55.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.