FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

110.01 – 15.18

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

119 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 5.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 419.9 ±9.9

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 61.93Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 32.8Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11368SCTC ZettaBots

Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 15.28Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 102 ±10.4

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 7.63Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 11.29Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2815Blue Devil Mechanics

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX -3.74Rank 26Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4451, 1287, 11368

/ 100 compat

Projected

110 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4451, 1287, 11368

Auto

15.7 14%

Teleop

56.8 52%

Endgame

37.0 34%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4083, 9005, 2815

/ 100 compat

Projected

15.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4083, 9005, 2815

Auto

13.1 81%

Teleop

0.8 5%

Endgame

2.2 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110pts

Blue projected score15.2pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 8%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 94.8
Score range: 5–120
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 137 vs event baseline 53.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

419.9Season APEX102

15.7Auto13.1

56.8Teleop0.8

37Endgame2.2

56Consistency158

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	14
teleop	74	4
endgame	8	0
foul	0	0
total	119	18

Result

Final score

119 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 5.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.