FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.6 – 59.98

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 134.3 ±11.7

1319Flash

Season APEX 64Event APEX -0.7Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6961SIbots

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 18.98Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1293Pandamaniacs

Season APEX 26.4Event APEX 20.32Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 319.1 ±9.3

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX -1.57Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6004f(x) Robotics

Season APEX 70.6Event APEX 10.18Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 51.37Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1319, 6961, 1293

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1319, 6961, 1293

Auto

5.4 20%

Teleop

14.3 53%

Endgame

7.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10388, 6004, 4451

/ 100 compat

Projected

60 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10388, 6004, 4451

Auto

6.1 13%

Teleop

22.4 47%

Endgame

19.4 41%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.6pts

Blue projected score60pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.4
Score range: 30–69
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 154 vs event baseline 50.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

134.3Season APEX319.1

5.4Auto6.1

14.3Teleop22.4

7.4Endgame19.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	8
teleop	5	66
endgame	2	50
foul	5	0
total	30	124

Result

Final score

30 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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