FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

18.53 – 48.2

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

40 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 180.2 ±9.8

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 6.76Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX -5.18Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4864INNovation Station

Season APEX 46Event APEX 16.95Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 255.5 ±11.2

1287Aluminum Assault

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 23.32Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10599RoboBlazers

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 21.17Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

281The GreenVillains

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 3.71Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9005, 9477, 4864

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9005, 9477, 4864

Auto

8.8 57%

Teleop

6.6 43%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1287, 10599, 281

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1287, 10599, 281

Auto

15.1 31%

Teleop

19.7 40%

Endgame

14.6 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 9%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score18.5pts

Blue projected score48.2pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 9%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.7
Score range: 10–57
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 97 vs event baseline 51.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

180.2Season APEX255.5

8.8Auto15.1

6.6Teleop19.7

0Endgame14.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	14
teleop	18	29
endgame	7	9
foul	0	5
total	40	57

Result

Final score

40 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 15.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.