FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.62 – 167.64

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 142.9 ±11.7

281The GreenVillains

Season APEX 62.4Event APEX 16.98Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6961SIbots

Season APEX 43.9Event APEX 13.34Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4083The Legendary Iron Wolverines

Season APEX 36.6Event APEX 8.3Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 341.3 ±9.8

11308Daniel Morgan Patriots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 26.83Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 92.55Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 48.26Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 281, 6961, 4083

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 281, 6961, 4083

Auto

17.6 48%

Teleop

12.5 34%

Endgame

6.4 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11308, 4451, 1758

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11308, 4451, 1758

Auto

28.4 17%

Teleop

92.3 56%

Endgame

44.7 27%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 10%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.48 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.6pts

Blue projected score167.6pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 10%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -129
Score range: 25–182
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 79.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

142.9Season APEX341.3

17.6Auto28.4

12.5Teleop92.3

6.4Endgame44.7

41Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	30
teleop	3	81
endgame	18	49
foul	0	0
total	41	160

Result

Final score

41 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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