FSC District Richland Event presented by Aflac & RCSD1

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

153.93 – 103.57

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

258 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 402.8 ±9.3

8575The Due Westerners

Season APEX 154.3Event APEX 54.95Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10388The Iron Wolverine Angels

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 9.91Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4451ROBOTZ Garage

Season APEX 220.7Event APEX 89.07Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.1 ±9.8

1758Technomancers

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 48.22Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5484Career Academy Robotics - Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64Event APEX 42.68Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9005Avian Robotics

Season APEX 37Event APEX 12.67Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8575, 10388, 4451

/ 100 compat

Projected

153.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8575, 10388, 4451

Auto

26.7 17%

Teleop

82.7 54%

Endgame

43.2 28%

Strengths

· 4451 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1758, 5484, 9005

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1758, 5484, 9005

Auto

24.5 25%

Teleop

53.9 55%

Endgame

20.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.55 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score153.9pts

Blue projected score103.6pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample136alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 9%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.4
Score range: 90–168
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 354 vs event baseline 76.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

402.8Season APEX171.1

26.7Auto24.5

82.7Teleop53.9

43.2Endgame20

0Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	26
teleop	170	36
endgame	59	29
foul	0	5
total	258	96

Result

Final score

258 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 55.8 pts

Match videos

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