Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
174.81 – 72.98
78%22%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
101 – 110
Prediction missed · off by 55.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 367.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 136.1Event APEX 57.85Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 34.66Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 180.5Event APEX 82.3Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.1 ±10.4
Season APEX 57.9Event APEX 22.44Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 28.53Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.1Event APEX 22.01Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 343, 11308, 6366
84
/ 100 compatProjected
174.8 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 343, 11308, 6366
Auto
34.4 20%
Teleop
101.1 59%
Endgame
35.7 21%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8137, 7085, 11398
51
/ 100 compatProjected
73 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 8137, 7085, 11398
Auto
28.6 40%
Teleop
28.9 40%
Endgame
14.8 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.04 · Blue 0.79
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score174.8pts
Blue projected score73pts
Red win probability78%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 101.8
- Score range
- 53–195
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
367.1Season APEX149.1
34.4Auto28.6
101.1Teleop28.9
35.7Endgame14.8
79Consistency139
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 34 |
| teleop | 46 | 56 |
| endgame | 22 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 101 | 110 |
Result
Final score
101 – 110
Prediction missed · off by 55.4 pts
Match videos
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